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:: year 17, Issue 60 (9-2024) ::
JMBR 2024, 17(60): 295-321 Back to browse issues page
Evaluation of the Asymmetric Effects of Interbank Interest Rates on The Exchange Rate in Iran's Economy
Teymour Mouhamadi1 , Mehdi Goharrostami2 , Sanaz Karimpour *3
1- Professor, Department of Economics, Allameh Tabatabai University, Tehran.
2- PhD in Economic Sciences, Allameh Tabatabai University
3- Master of Economic Sciences, Allameh Tabatabai University, Tehran. (Corresponding Author)
Abstract:   (172 Views)
Monetary policies are used by policymakers to achieve macroeconomic goals such as maintaining the value of the national currency. These policies are developed using various tools such as interest rates to control the amount of money. In the meantime, the central bank shows its monetary policy position by using the interbank interest rate and determines the direction of the country's monetary policy goals. Now the question arises, what effect do the changes in this rate have on the exchange rate in the short-term and long-term, and is this effect symmetrical? In this regard, the present research aims to answer these questions by using the Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) and monthly data of exchange rate and interbank interest rate (1401-12: 1۳88-1). The results of this study indicate that the effect of the interbank interest rate on the market exchange rate in Iran is asymmetric both in the short term and in the long term. In the short term, the implementation of the monetary contraction policy in the form of an increase in the interest rate can reduce the exchange rate of the market to a limited extent, and the decrease in the interest rate has a positive and significant effect on the exchange rate, and this effect is about one percent. But in the long run, the increase in the interbank interest rate cannot significantly affect the exchange rate, while its decrease causes the increase in the exchange rate in the market.
Article number: 5
Full-Text [PDF 884 kb]   (63 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Empirical Study | Subject: Money and Interest Rates (E4)
Received: 2024/07/24 | Accepted: 2024/12/10 | Published: 2025/01/19
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