:: year 2, Issue 3 (spring 2010) ::
JMBR 2010, 2(3): 93-114 Back to browse issues page
Iran's Trade Balance and Dynamics of the J-Curve Mechanism in the Uncertainty Conditions
Seyyed Komail Tayebi *, Mehdi Yazdani, Azad Khanzadi
Abstract:   (5278 Views)
Devaluation of a currency is theoretically one of economic policies in removing current account deficit. This mechanism is so-called J-Curve in the external economics. According to this approach، a decrease in the volume of a national currency leads a decrease to trade deficit. This paper addresses the question whether uncertainty conditions such as financial and exchange crises، and the process of exchange rate unification in Iran should maintain the J-Curve mechanism unchanged. In fact، the floatation degree of exchange rate has a sustainable role in exchange rate and current account changes that are explained in the process of J-Curve.
To this end، this research applied autoregressive technique with distributed lags to the Iranian economy and its major trading partners. In addition، the impact of uncertainty on the J-Curve process has been examined by impulse response functions. Basically، the empirical results reveal the approved stability of the J-Curve process for bilateral trade balance between Iran and its partners، except for China and Italy.
Keywords: J, Curve, Iran\'s Trade Balance, Uncertainty, Exchange Crisis, Exchange Rate Unification
Full-Text [PDF 339 kb]   (5473 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Empirical Study |
Received: 2014/07/26 | Accepted: 2014/07/26 | Published: 2014/07/26

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year 2, Issue 3 (spring 2010) Back to browse issues page